Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 15 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 15 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 23 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | 33 | 1st | 12142429 |
| 2025-11-08 | 4 | 2nd | 3121421 |
| 2025-10-11 | 3 | 2nd | 4121419 |
| 2025-09-20 | 6 | 3rd | 391243 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 6 |
| 3rd |
| 7101237 |
| 2025-06-28 | 7 | 2nd | 7122631 |
| 2025-05-10 | 10 | 2nd | 7122932 |
| 2025-03-01 | 4 | 2nd | 5121935 |
| 2025-02-01 | 13 | 3rd | 241239 |
| 2024-11-02 | — | 2nd | 6121837 |