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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.17σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 10 times in 107 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 13 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 22 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 13 is picked about 0.92× as often as an indifferent choice — 31st most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 13 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 2 | 3rd | 671341 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 2nd | 2132936 |
| 2026-08-08 | 1 | 2nd | 6131834 |
| 2026-08-01 | 4 | 1st | 13222644 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 13 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 3 |
| 2nd |
| 2132931 |
| 2026-06-13 | 8 | 2nd | 6133943 |
| 2026-04-18 | 2 | 3rd | 381328 |
| 2026-04-04 | 20 | 4th | 14813 |
| 2025-11-15 | 22 | 3rd | 5111330 |
| 2025-06-14 | — | 2nd | 2131518 |