Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lottario Early Bird · every number
In Lottario Early Bird under the 4/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 107 draws, 4 from 1–45.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws against 9.5 expected, +0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 21 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 107 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 21 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 37 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 19 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 21 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 37 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 37 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | 1 | 4th | 5283237 |
| 2026-05-09 | 1 | 3rd | 17313741 |
| 2026-05-02 | 19 | 3rd | 26333741 |
| 2025-12-20 | 9 | 4th | 27282937 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 37 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 10 |
| 2nd |
| 20374243 |
| 2025-08-09 | 7 | 4th | 7101237 |
| 2025-06-21 | 9 | 4th | 6183237 |
| 2025-04-19 | 2 | 3rd | 1303738 |
| 2025-04-05 | 22 | 4th | 16183637 |
| 2024-11-02 | 2 | 4th | 6121837 |
| 2024-10-19 | — | 2nd | 31374045 |