Powerball · every number · star deck
4
Star 4 In Powerball under the 6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011 rules — 1,352 draws, 1 from 1–10.
Main numbers Stars 120 times drawn · chance expected 135 −1.38σ
1 draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
11.2 average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0
53 longest completed wait · 39% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 120 times in 1,352 draws against 135.2 expected, −1.38σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4 Number 4, draw by draw Drawn 120 times in 1,352 draws · average wait 11.2 draws · longest completed wait 53 · waiting 1 draws now
10 draws: 2012-03-10 to 2012-05-19 5 draws: 2012-05-19 to 2012-06-23 23 draws: 2012-06-23 to 2012-12-01 4 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2012-12-29 9 draws: 2012-12-29 to 2013-03-02 27 draws: 2013-03-02 to 2013-09-07 3 draws: 2013-09-07 to 2013-09-28 7 draws: 2013-09-28 to 2013-11-16 3 draws: 2013-11-16 to 2013-12-07 31 draws: 2013-12-07 to 2014-07-12 15 draws: 2014-07-12 to 2014-10-25 3 draws: 2014-10-25 to 2014-11-15 2 draws: 2014-11-15 to 2014-11-29 8 draws: 2014-11-29 to 2015-01-24 8 draws: 2015-01-24 to 2015-03-21 3 draws: 2015-03-21 to 2015-04-11 17 draws: 2015-04-11 to 2015-08-08 3 draws: 2015-08-08 to 2015-08-29 15 draws: 2015-08-29 to 2015-11-07 6 draws: 2015-11-07 to 2015-11-28 3 draws: 2015-11-28 to 2015-12-09 2 draws: 2015-12-09 to 2015-12-16 6 draws: 2015-12-16 to 2016-01-06 9 draws: 2016-01-06 to 2016-02-06 9 draws: 2016-02-06 to 2016-03-09 11 draws: 2016-03-09 to 2016-04-16 5 draws: 2016-04-16 to 2016-05-04 1 draws: 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-07 8 draws: 2016-05-07 to 2016-06-04 6 draws: 2016-06-04 to 2016-06-25 20 draws: 2016-06-25 to 2016-09-03 4 draws: 2016-09-03 to 2016-09-17 2 draws: 2016-09-17 to 2016-09-24 1 draws: 2016-09-24 to 2016-09-28 25 draws: 2016-09-28 to 2016-12-24 7 draws: 2016-12-24 to 2017-01-18 3 draws: 2017-01-18 to 2017-01-28 8 draws: 2017-01-28 to 2017-02-25 7 draws: 2017-02-25 to 2017-03-22 18 draws: 2017-03-22 to 2017-05-24 26 draws: 2017-05-24 to 2017-08-23 3 draws: 2017-08-23 to 2017-09-02 6 draws: 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-23 3 draws: 2017-09-23 to 2017-10-04 17 draws: 2017-10-04 to 2017-12-02 6 draws: 2017-12-02 to 2017-12-23 1 draws: 2017-12-23 to 2017-12-27 23 draws: 2017-12-27 to 2018-03-17 7 draws: 2018-03-17 to 2018-04-11 5 draws: 2018-04-11 to 2018-04-28 13 draws: 2018-04-28 to 2018-06-13 3 draws: 2018-06-13 to 2018-06-23 28 draws: 2018-06-23 to 2018-09-29 13 draws: 2018-09-29 to 2018-11-14 27 draws: 2018-11-14 to 2019-02-16 1 draws: 2019-02-16 to 2019-02-20 4 draws: 2019-02-20 to 2019-03-06 23 draws: 2019-03-06 to 2019-05-25 11 draws: 2019-05-25 to 2019-07-03 3 draws: 2019-07-03 to 2019-07-13 18 draws: 2019-07-13 to 2019-09-14 13 draws: 2019-09-14 to 2019-10-30 53 draws: 2019-10-30 to 2020-05-02 16 draws: 2020-05-02 to 2020-06-27 1 draws: 2020-06-27 to 2020-07-01 4 draws: 2020-07-01 to 2020-07-15 6 draws: 2020-07-15 to 2020-08-05 2 draws: 2020-08-05 to 2020-08-12 3 draws: 2020-08-12 to 2020-08-22 8 draws: 2020-08-22 to 2020-09-19 7 draws: 2020-09-19 to 2020-10-14 5 draws: 2020-10-14 to 2020-10-31 2 draws: 2020-10-31 to 2020-11-07 1 draws: 2020-11-07 to 2020-11-11 18 draws: 2020-11-11 to 2021-01-13 5 draws: 2021-01-13 to 2021-01-30 3 draws: 2021-01-30 to 2021-02-10 10 draws: 2021-02-10 to 2021-03-17 14 draws: 2021-03-17 to 2021-05-05 33 draws: 2021-05-05 to 2021-08-28 20 draws: 2021-08-28 to 2021-11-06 6 draws: 2021-11-06 to 2021-11-27 3 draws: 2021-11-27 to 2021-12-08 10 draws: 2021-12-08 to 2022-01-12 21 draws: 2022-01-12 to 2022-03-26 15 draws: 2022-03-26 to 2022-05-18 1 draws: 2022-05-18 to 2022-05-21 8 draws: 2022-05-21 to 2022-06-18 21 draws: 2022-06-18 to 2022-08-31 22 draws: 2022-08-31 to 2022-11-16 24 draws: 2022-11-16 to 2023-02-08 17 draws: 2023-02-08 to 2023-04-08 2 draws: 2023-04-08 to 2023-04-15 24 draws: 2023-04-15 to 2023-07-08 17 draws: 2023-07-08 to 2023-09-06 13 draws: 2023-09-06 to 2023-10-21 15 draws: 2023-10-21 to 2023-12-13 8 draws: 2023-12-13 to 2024-01-10 21 draws: 2024-01-10 to 2024-03-23 18 draws: 2024-03-23 to 2024-05-25 5 draws: 2024-05-25 to 2024-06-12 3 draws: 2024-06-12 to 2024-06-22 11 draws: 2024-06-22 to 2024-07-31 22 draws: 2024-07-31 to 2024-10-16 21 draws: 2024-10-16 to 2024-12-28 17 draws: 2024-12-28 to 2025-02-26 18 draws: 2025-02-26 to 2025-04-30 11 draws: 2025-04-30 to 2025-06-07 8 draws: 2025-06-07 to 2025-07-05 16 draws: 2025-07-05 to 2025-08-30 29 draws: 2025-08-30 to 2025-12-10 1 draws: 2025-12-10 to 2025-12-13 6 draws: 2025-12-13 to 2026-01-03 18 draws: 2026-01-03 to 2026-03-07 1 draws: 2026-03-07 to 2026-03-11 7 draws: 2026-03-11 to 2026-04-04 2 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-11 32 draws: 2026-04-11 to 2026-08-01 17 draws: 2026-08-01 to 2026-10-14 Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2026-10-14 2012-03-10 2012-05-19 2012-06-23 2012-12-01 2012-12-29 2013-03-02 2013-09-07 2013-09-28 2013-11-16 2013-12-07 2014-07-12 2014-10-25 2014-11-15 2014-11-29 2015-01-24 2015-03-21 2015-04-11 2015-08-08 2015-08-29 2015-11-07 2015-11-28 2015-12-09 2015-12-16 2016-01-06 2016-02-06 2016-03-09 2016-04-16 2016-05-04 2016-05-07 2016-06-04 2016-06-25 2016-09-03 2016-09-17 2016-09-24 2016-09-28 2016-12-24 2017-01-18 2017-01-28 2017-02-25 2017-03-22 2017-05-24 2017-08-23 2017-09-02 2017-09-23 2017-10-04 2017-12-02 2017-12-23 2017-12-27 2018-03-17 2018-04-11 2018-04-28 2018-06-13 2018-06-23 2018-09-29 2018-11-14 2019-02-16 2019-02-20 2019-03-06 2019-05-25 2019-07-03 2019-07-13 2019-09-14 2019-10-30 2020-05-02 2020-06-27 2020-07-01 2020-07-15 2020-08-05 2020-08-12 2020-08-22 2020-09-19 2020-10-14 2020-10-31 2020-11-07 2020-11-11 2021-01-13 2021-01-30 2021-02-10 2021-03-17 2021-05-05 2021-08-28 2021-11-06 2021-11-27 2021-12-08 2022-01-12 2022-03-26 2022-05-18 2022-05-21 2022-06-18 2022-08-31 2022-11-16 2023-02-08 2023-04-08 2023-04-15 2023-07-08 2023-09-06 2023-10-21 2023-12-13 2024-01-10 2024-03-23 2024-05-25 2024-06-12 2024-06-22 2024-07-31 2024-10-16 2024-12-28 2025-02-26 2025-04-30 2025-06-07 2025-07-05 2025-08-30 2025-12-10 2025-12-13 2026-01-03 2026-03-07 2026-03-11 2026-04-04 2026-04-11 2026-08-01 2026-10-14 2011-11-12 2026-10-17 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 9 times 2 draws: 7 times 3 draws: 15 times 4 draws: 4 times 5 draws: 6 times 6 draws: 8 times 7 draws: 6 times 8 draws: 8 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 3 times 11 draws: 4 times 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 1 time 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 2 times 17 draws: 6 times 18 draws: 6 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 2 times 21 draws: 4 times 22 draws: 2 times 23 draws: 3 times 24 draws: 2 times 25 draws: 1 time 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 2 times 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 0 times 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 0 times 48 draws: 0 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 0 times 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 1 time 54 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 120 · chance 120.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →
Every draw it appeared in The other 96 appearances ← star 3 Every number star 5 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.