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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 November 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 20
  4. 24
  5. 27
  6. 31
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 529 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-11-10All recent draws2018-11-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 20 24 27 31 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 79 of each

665times
871times
2073times
2478times
27

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-14

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$224.2Kto 9.9k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$35.3K
  • Match 3 + Powerball56%NZ$126.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$30.9K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$31.5K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

72times
3172times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 53 of each

454times

Every number was expected about that many times after 528 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 20, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 May 2017 — its closest relative in 528 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 November 2018): 20, 27 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 14 by chanceNZ$1,434
  • Match 4 + Powerball654≈ 593 by chanceNZ$54.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball8,429≈ 8.4k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$99.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball793NZ$39.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 654 winners, 10% more than the 593 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$1,434
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$99.00
    Match 4 + Powerball654NZ$54.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball793NZ$39.00
    Match 3 + Powerball8,429NZ$15.00
    Totals9,938—