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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 18 January 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 21
  5. 25
  6. 31
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$11,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 339 of 1,350 under them

← 2017-01-14All recent draws2017-01-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 13 14 21 25 31 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 January 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

849times
1358times
1456times
2153times
25

Prize breakdown · 2017-01-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$184.4Kto 15k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball5.3%NZ$9.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$152.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.3%NZ$11.6K
  • 3 other tiers5.7%NZ$10.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
3151times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 34 of each

436times

Every number was expected about that many times after 338 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 13, 14, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 December 2012 — its closest relative in 338 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2017): 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$11,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball28≈ 22 by chanceNZ$163
  • Match 4 + Powerball881≈ 895 by chanceNZ$11.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball12,725≈ 13k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$4,781
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball59NZ$19.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,286NZ$9.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 881 winners, 2% fewer than the 895 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$11,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$4,781
    Match 5 + Powerball28NZ$163
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball59NZ$19.00
    Match 4 + Powerball881NZ$11.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,286NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Powerball12,725NZ$12.00
    Totals0—