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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 2 September 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 30
  6. 37
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 404 of 1,351 under them

← 2017-08-30All recent draws2017-09-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 20 21 22 30 37 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

1056times
2054times
2160times
2253times
30

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-02

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$752.9Kto 32k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 275lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball15%NZ$116.2K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$413.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball14%NZ$106.9K
  • 3 other tiers15%NZ$116.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

60times
3758times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

442times

Every number was expected about that many times after 403 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 22, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 November 2016 — its closest relative in 403 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 August 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

140

The numbers add up to 140 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 21–22. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$20,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball46≈ 47 by chanceNZ$1,270
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,969≈ 1.9k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball27,573≈ 28k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$45,350
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$132
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,487NZ$43.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,969 winners, 2% more than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$20,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball1NZ$45,350
    Match 5 + Powerball46NZ$1,270
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball94NZ$132
    Match 4 + Powerball1,969NZ$59.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball2,487NZ$43.00
    Match 3 + Powerball27,573NZ$15.00
    Totals32,170—