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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 6 January 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 27
  4. 28
  5. 29
  6. 40
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 231 of 1,350 under them

← 2016-01-02All recent draws2016-01-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 27 28 29 40 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd79th
  • low21th
  • widest gap66th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

936times
1341times
2740times
2828times
29

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-06

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$111.7Kto 9.1k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 270lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Powerball5.1%NZ$5.7K
  • Match 3 + Powerball83%NZ$92.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball6.6%NZ$7.3K
  • 2 other tiers5.7%NZ$6.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
4036times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

423times

Every number was expected about that many times after 230 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (13, 28, 29, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 February 2013 — its closest relative in 230 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 January 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 28–29. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball18≈ 13 by chanceNZ$316
  • Match 4 + Powerball568≈ 541 by chanceNZ$10.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball7,692≈ 7.7k by chanceNZ$12.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball31NZ$22.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball816NZ$9.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 568 winners, 5% more than the 541 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball18NZ$316
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball31NZ$22.00
    Match 4 + Powerball568NZ$10.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball816NZ$9.00
    Match 3 + Powerball7,692NZ$12.00
    Totals0—