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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 8 December 2021

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 12
  4. 28
  5. 32
  6. 36
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$5,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 849 of 1,352 under them

← 2021-12-04All recent draws2021-12-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 12 28 32 36 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd5th
  • low50th
  • widest gap80th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

5110times
10139times
12127times
28122times
32

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$303.6Kto 13k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 276lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$49.5K
  • Match 3 + Powerball57%NZ$172.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$45.7K
  • 2 other tiers12%NZ$35.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

126times
36117times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 85 of each

483times

Every number was expected about that many times after 848 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 12, 28, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 May 2020 — its closest relative in 848 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$5,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball11≈ 20 by chanceNZ$2,746
  • Match 4 + Powerball839≈ 809 by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball11,511≈ 12k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$130
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball993NZ$46.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 839 winners, 4% more than the 809 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$5,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball11NZ$2,746
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball43NZ$130
    Match 4 + Powerball839NZ$59.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball993NZ$46.00
    Match 3 + Powerball11,511NZ$15.00
    Totals13,397—