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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 28 April 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 16
  5. 36
  6. 40
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$10,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 472 of 1,352 under them

← 2018-04-25All recent draws2018-05-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 11 16 36 40 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 April 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

463times
558times
1171times
1668times
36

Prize breakdown · 2018-04-28

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$507.9Kto 20k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 272lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball14%NZ$71.6K
  • Match 3 + Powerball51%NZ$260K
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball13%NZ$67.4K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$109K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
4070times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each

450times

Every number was expected about that many times after 471 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 5, 11, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2016 — its closest relative in 471 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 April 2018): 36 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$10,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball28≈ 30 by chanceNZ$1,279
  • Match 4 + Powerball1,256≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$57.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball17,330≈ 17k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball3NZ$22,473
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball85NZ$100
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,747NZ$37.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 1,256 winners, 3% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$10,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball3NZ$22,473
    Match 5 + Powerball28NZ$1,279
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball85NZ$100
    Match 4 + Powerball1,256NZ$57.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,747NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Powerball17,330NZ$15.00
    Totals20,449—