LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇳🇿 0800 654 655all helplines →

Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 October 2020

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 31
  6. 34
  7. 4

JackpotNZ$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/10 · since Nov 2011draw 729 of 1,352 under them

← 2020-10-10All recent draws2020-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 16 21 31 34 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

1119times
593times
16107times
21107times
31

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$279.4Kto 12k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 271lines took a prize
  • Match 6 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball16%NZ$46K
  • Match 3 + Powerball55%NZ$153.9K
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball15%NZ$41.5K
  • 2 other tiers14%NZ$38K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 6 + Powerball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

106times
3499times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 728 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 21, 31, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 August 2018 — its closest relative in 728 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2020): 1, 5, 31 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$4,000,000
  • Match 5 + Powerball19≈ 17 by chanceNZ$1,721
  • Match 4 + Powerball793≈ 721 by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 3 + Powerball10,257≈ 10k by chanceNZ$15.00
  • Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$109
  • Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,012NZ$41.00
  • Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Powerball — 793 winners, 10% more than the 721 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 6 + Powerball0NZ$4,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus + Powerball0NZ$0.00
    Match 5 + Powerball19NZ$1,721
    Match 4 + Bonus + Powerball49NZ$109
    Match 4 + Powerball793NZ$58.00
    Match 3 + Bonus + Powerball1,012NZ$41.00
    Match 3 + Powerball10,257NZ$15.00
    Totals12,130—