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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Monday, 19 July 2021

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 9
  3. 36
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 4

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 245 of 792 under them

← 2021-07-15All recent draws2021-07-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 9 36 44 46 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

829times
923times
3626times
4424times
46

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 170k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£190.4K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15%£165.0K
  • Match 264%£714.8K
  • 3 other tiers4.7%£52.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

418times

Every number was expected about that many times after 244 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 9, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2020 — its closest relative in 244 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2021): 8 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

143

The numbers add up to 143 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.2 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 29 by chance£250
  • Match 4243≈ 262 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,077≈ 1.2k by chance£30.00
  • Match 39,518≈ 11k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,499≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2142,955≈ 143k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,518 winners, 11% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2142,955£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,499£10.00
    Match 39,518£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,077£30.00
    Match 4243£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33£250
    Match 50£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£3,600,000