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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 138 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 16 times in 138 draws against 14.1 expected, +0.54σ. Each draw is independent: after 12 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 138 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 12 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 7 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 7 is picked about 1.54× as often as an indifferent choice — 1st most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 7 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-16 | 4 | 1st | 710111235 |
| 2026-08-12 | 14 | 1st | 721263641 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2 | 3rd | 3571434 |
| 2026-07-26 | 5 | 2nd | 17101641 |
| 2026-07-21 | 1 | 1st | 723344042 |
| 2026-07-20 | 17 | 1st | 710202830 |
| 2026-07-03 | 3 | 1st | 731323637 |
| 2026-06-30 | 2 | 2nd | 17162636 |
| 2026-06-28 | 4 | 1st | 712313239 |
| 2026-06-24 | 14 | 3rd | 5672040 |
| 2026-06-10 | 1 | 1st | 79103542 |
| 2026-06-09 | — | 2nd | 17131925 |