In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
11times drawn · chance expected 14 −0.92σ
17draws waiting · a wait this long: 18% for any number
10.7average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
37longest completed wait · 19% chance of one at least that long
1 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
1
Number 1, draw by draw
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws · average wait 10.7 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 17 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 21 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.