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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 139 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 16 times in 139 draws against 14.2 expected, +0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 16 times in 139 draws · average wait 9.0 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 15 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-09-02 | 19 | 3rd | 19233949 |
| 2026-08-14 | 9 | 2nd | 1523343743 |
| 2026-08-05 | 1 | 3rd | 315233445 |
| 2026-08-04 | 4 | 1st | 2327364149 |
| 2026-07-31 | 3 | 2nd | 523293648 |
| 2026-07-27 | 5 | 4th | 46132336 |
| 2026-07-22 | 1 | 1st | 2325293031 |
| 2026-07-21 | 17 | 2nd | 723344042 |
| 2026-07-04 | 19 | 3rd | 213233942 |
| 2026-06-15 | 14 | 4th | 417212337 |
| 2026-06-01 | 7 | 2nd | 923283147 |
| 2026-05-25 | — | 3rd | 312233446 |