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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws · average wait 10.4 draws · longest completed wait 44 · waiting 14 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 46 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 46 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 46 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 46 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-27 | 3 | 4th | 718404649 |
| 2026-08-24 | 13 | 5th | 1221222646 |
| 2026-08-11 | 8 | 5th | 412274346 |
| 2026-08-03 | 9 | 4th | 217334649 |
| 2026-07-24 | 9 | 5th | 820414446 |
| 2026-07-15 | 1 | 5th | 425294346 |
| 2026-07-14 | 6 | 5th | 813163746 |
| 2026-07-08 | 44 | 4th | 819264648 |
| 2026-05-25 | — | 5th | 312233446 |