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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 14 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 140 draws · average wait 9.7 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 9 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 29 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 29 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 29 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | 4 | 5th | 317182729 |
| 2026-09-29 | 8 | 3rd | 1421294349 |
| 2026-09-21 | 9 | 2nd | 829343746 |
| 2026-09-12 | 9 | 4th | 59242947 |
| 2026-09-03 | 4 | 3rd | 910294243 |
| 2026-08-30 | 20 | 5th | 410172129 |
| 2026-08-10 | 10 | 3rd | 920293645 |
| 2026-07-31 | 8 | 3rd | 523293648 |
| 2026-07-22 | 7 | 3rd | 2325293031 |
| 2026-07-15 | 4 | 3rd | 425294346 |
| 2026-07-11 | 25 | 3rd | 824293745 |
| 2026-06-16 | 8 | 4th | 924272938 |
| 2026-06-08 | 10 | 4th | 1417262934 |
| 2026-05-29 | — | 2nd | 2129323340 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 29 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.