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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws · average wait 11.0 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 41 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 41 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 41 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 41 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-23 | 11 | 3rd | 412414548 |
| 2026-08-12 | 8 | 5th | 721263641 |
| 2026-08-04 | 8 | 4th | 2327364149 |
| 2026-07-26 | 2 | 5th | 17101641 |
| 2026-07-24 | 8 | 3rd | 820414446 |
| 2026-07-16 | 24 | 4th | 1622374148 |
| 2026-06-22 | — | 5th | 2437384041 |