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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 139 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 9 times in 139 draws against 14.2 expected, −1.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 24 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 139 draws · average wait 12.8 draws · longest completed wait 33 · waiting 24 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 20 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 23 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 22 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-02 | 15 | 4th | 1213152247 |
| 2026-07-17 | 1 | 4th | 410142224 |
| 2026-07-16 | 33 | 2nd | 1622374148 |
| 2026-06-13 | 7 | 3rd | 612223849 |
| 2026-06-06 | — | 3rd | 1218222733 |