Number 49

In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 139 draws, 5 from 1–49.

16times drawn · chance expected 14 +0.51σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 72% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

23longest completed wait · 77% chance of one at least that long

49 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 16 times in 139 draws against 14.2 expected, +0.51σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 49, draw by draw

Drawn 16 times in 139 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 49 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest16 · chance 16.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 12 16 24 40 4

Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 13 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 49 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 49 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-07	8	5th	12 24 35 44 49
2026-09-29	6	5th	14 21 29 43 49
2026-09-23	6	5th	5 24 33 34 49
2026-09-17	6	5th	22 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 49 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.