Number 40

In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.

12times drawn · chance expected 14 −0.64σ

16draws waiting · a wait this long: 20% for any number

10.9average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8

30longest completed wait · 39% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 12 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.64σ. Each draw is independent: after 16 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 12 times in 140 draws · average wait 10.9 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 16 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.2
3rd smallest1 · chance 1.6
4th smallest7 · chance 5.1
5th smallest4 · chance 5.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

6 7 18 49 5 11

Never drawn alongside 16 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 18 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-26	26	4th	9 11 33 40 42
2026-08-31	4	5th	6 15 16 38 40
2026-08-27	6	3rd	7 18 40 46 49
2026-08-21	30	5th	4 17

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.