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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.92σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 11 times in 140 draws · average wait 12.8 draws · longest completed wait 29 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 18 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 19 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-27 | 18 | 2nd | 718404649 |
| 2026-08-09 | 8 | 3rd | 414183239 |
| 2026-08-01 | 29 | 3rd | 516181944 |
| 2026-07-02 | 12 | 3rd | 311184045 |
| 2026-06-20 | 14 | 3rd | 615182145 |
| 2026-06-06 | 1 | 2nd | 1218222733 |
| 2026-06-05 | — | 2nd | 1318274049 |