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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 36 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 45 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 12 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 45 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 45 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | 36 | 5th | 1517183145 |
| 2026-09-06 | 14 | 4th | 316354546 |
| 2026-08-23 | 13 | 4th | 412414548 |
| 2026-08-10 | 5 | 5th | 920293645 |
| 2026-08-05 | 6 | 5th | 315233445 |
| 2026-07-29 | 18 | 4th | 1534424547 |
| 2026-07-11 | 2 | 5th | 824293745 |
| 2026-07-09 | 3 | 4th | 2527334547 |
| 2026-07-06 | 4 | 5th | 1015193045 |
| 2026-07-02 | 12 | 5th | 311184045 |
| 2026-06-20 | 16 | 5th | 615182145 |
| 2026-06-04 | 7 | 5th | 224303645 |
| 2026-05-28 | — | 5th | 519284045 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 45 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.