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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 13 times in 140 draws · average wait 10.8 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 16 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-10 | 15 | 2nd | 920293645 |
| 2026-07-25 | 1 | 2nd | 1620323839 |
| 2026-07-24 | 4 | 2nd | 820414446 |
| 2026-07-20 | 10 | 3rd | 710202830 |
| 2026-07-10 | 16 | 2nd | 420313749 |
| 2026-06-24 | 17 | 4th | 5672040 |
| 2026-06-07 | 7 | 2nd | 1620283334 |
| 2026-05-31 | 4 | 2nd | 1620314849 |
| 2026-05-27 | — | 2nd | 1020212738 |