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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2026 rules — 140 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 14 times in 140 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 32 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 140 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 22 · waiting 32 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 15 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2026-08-19 | 2 | 4th | 1128313847 |
| 2026-08-17 | 22 | 4th | 28323842 |
| 2026-07-25 | 2 | 4th | 1620323839 |
| 2026-07-23 | 10 | 5th | 12173738 |
| 2026-07-13 | 8 | 5th | 114313738 |
| 2026-07-05 | 13 | 4th | 1219333848 |
| 2026-06-22 | 6 | 3rd | 2437384041 |
| 2026-06-16 | 3 | 5th | 924272938 |
| 2026-06-13 | 17 | 4th | 612223849 |
| 2026-05-27 | — | 5th | 1020212738 |