Number 15

In Powerball under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015 rules — 1,418 draws, 5 from 1–69.

97times drawn · chance expected 103 −0.59σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 64% for any number

14.7average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8

61longest completed wait · 65% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 97 times in 1,418 draws against 102.8 expected, −0.59σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 97 times in 1,418 draws · average wait 14.7 draws · longest completed wait 61 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest38 · chance 37.7
2nd smallest44 · chance 41.4
3rd smallest14 · chance 15.5
4th smallest1 · chance 2.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.1

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 63 8 21 27 31

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 68 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.06× as often as an indifferent choice — 16th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.14

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-23	7	2nd	5 15 26 29 30
2026-09-07	1	1st	15 19 28 39 56
2026-09-05	8	1st	15 40 47 53 59
2026-08-17	43	2nd	8 15 25 49

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-06-22	61	3rd	4 5 15 32 62
2024-01-31	44	1st	15 18 19 41 43
2023-10-21	31	2nd	6 15 24 67 68
2023-08-09	16	2nd	10 15 21 67 69
2023-07-03	13	1st	15 26 31 38 61
2023-06-03	9	1st	15 45 64 67 68
2023-05-13	2	2nd	3 15 20 23 46
2023-05-08	5	1st	15 20 33 36 43
2023-04-26	14	2nd	2 15 30 35 49
2023-03-25	21	1st	15 17 18 47 57
2023-02-04	7	3rd	2 8 15 19 58
2023-01-18	12	2nd	6 15 22 42 47
2022-12-21	11	2nd	12 15 24 34 59
2022-11-26	16	1st	15 30 47 50 51
2022-10-19	13	3rd	6 8 15 27 42
2022-09-19	19	2nd	7 15 36 46 67
2022-08-06	2	2nd	8 15 46 56 68
2022-08-01	12	1st	15 21 31 36 65
2022-07-04	19	1st	15 16 24 31 56
2022-05-21	2	2nd	14 15 25 52 58
2022-05-16	13	2nd	7 15 22 36 64
2022-04-16	11	1st	15 21 32 62 65
2022-03-21	10	2nd	1 15 26 63 65
2022-02-26	3	1st	15 32 36 48 64
2022-02-19	5	3rd	3 10 15 33 42
2022-02-07	3	2nd	5 15 38 47 65
2022-01-31	1	2nd	10 15 51 61 69
2022-01-29	4	2nd	2 15 38 54 65
2022-01-19	21	2nd	11 15 43 55 61
2021-12-01	8	2nd	12 15 38 57 63
2021-11-13	32	2nd	8 15 26 35 45
2021-08-30	14	2nd	3 15 45 51 61
2021-07-17	43	1st	15 22 38 54 66
2021-02-17	2	2nd	1 15 21 32 46
2021-02-10	25	1st	15 39 58 63 67
2020-11-14	1	2nd	7 15 18 32 45
2020-11-11	19	2nd	13 15 17 45 63
2020-09-05	19	1st	15 21 22 27 47
2020-07-01	2	1st	15 28 52 53 63
2020-06-24	28	1st	15 22 27 33 46
2020-03-18	3	1st	15 27 44 59 63
2020-03-07	5	2nd	7 15 21 33 62
2020-02-19	6	3rd	10 12 15 19 56
2020-01-29	17	3rd	9 12 15 31 60
2019-11-30	1	1st	15 35 42 63 68
2019-11-27	2	1st	15 26 37 53 55
2019-11-20	4	2nd	7 15 39 40 57
2019-11-06	11	1st	15 28 46 62 64
2019-09-28	34	1st	15 23 34 51 55
2019-06-01	13	2nd	6 15 34 45 52
2019-04-17	3	2nd	1 15 17 46 66
2019-04-06	26	1st	15 33 43 59 60
2019-01-05	5	3rd	3 7 15 27 69
2018-12-19	13	1st	15 29 31 37 43
2018-11-03	17	1st	15 21 24 32 65
2018-09-05	6	2nd	6 15 50 59 60
2018-08-15	12	2nd	12 15 28 47 48
2018-07-04	7	3rd	4 7 15 41 44
2018-06-09	31	3rd	6 10 15 25 36
2018-02-21	5	2nd	7 15 31 34 36
2018-02-03	12	1st	15 23 27 48 53
2017-12-23	34	4th	1 3 13 15 44
2017-08-26	3	2nd	7 15 32 38 66
2017-08-16	32	2nd	9 15 43 60 64
2017-04-26	8	2nd	1 15 18 26 51
2017-03-29	53	2nd	8 15 31 36 62
2016-09-24	21	2nd	7 15 20 29 41
2016-07-13	32	2nd	3 15 29 54 57
2016-03-23	9	3rd	5 8 15 22 49
2016-02-20	2	3rd	11 12 15 16 54
2016-02-13	12	2nd	7 15 18 19 36
2016-01-02	23	3rd	5 6 15 29 42
2015-10-14	—	1st	15 20 29 31 40