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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 19 October 2022

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 27
  5. 42
  6. 10

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 796 of 1,432 under them

← 2022-10-17All recent draws2022-10-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official6 8 15 27 42 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official6 8 15 27 42 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 15 27 42 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd33th
  • low89th
  • widest gap15th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 58 of each

662times
858times
1558times
2764times
4256times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

1032times

Every number was expected about that many times after 795 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 27, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2018 — its closest relative in 795 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-10-19

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$294.1Kto 53k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.00

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%$50.0K
  • Match 313%$37.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball48%$142.2K
  • 3 other tiers22%$64.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.00 by chance$10,000,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.11 by chance$500,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 1.5 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 422≈ 36 by chance$500
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball72≈ 92 by chance$255
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,765≈ 1.9k by chance$20.00
  7. Match 31,865≈ 2.3k by chance$20.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball14,217≈ 14k by chance$10.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,786≈ 35k by chance—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 1,865 winners, 19% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34,786—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball14,217$10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball1,765$20.00
Match 31,865$20.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball72$255
Match 422$500
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball1$50,000
Match 50$500,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$10,000,000