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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 12 May 2025

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 41
  4. 48
  5. 60
  6. 21

Jackpot$94,100,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,197 of 1,432 under them

← 2025-05-10All recent draws2025-05-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official15 16 41 48 60 + 2123 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official15 16 41 48 60 + 2123 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 41 48 60 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 87 of each

1583times
1690times
4180times
4874times
6078times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

2155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,196 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 48, 60) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 July 2023 — its closest relative in 1,196 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 May 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

180

The numbers add up to 180 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2025-05-12

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.3Mto 203k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33%$450.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%$212.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball40%$539.5K
  • 4 other tiers11%$144.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance$94,100,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.44 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9≈ 5.7 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4116≈ 142 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball317≈ 357 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,743≈ 7.4k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 37,723≈ 8.9k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,175≈ 56k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball134,865≈ 135k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,723 winners, 13% fewer than the 8.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball134,865$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball53,175$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,743$7.00
Match 37,723$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball317$100
Match 4116$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball9$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$94,100,000