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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$238,300,000
The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 783 of 1,430 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 782 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 15, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 May 2022 — its closest relative in 782 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 76% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2022): 36 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 171 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,200 winners, 15% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 181,827 | $4.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 76,966 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 9,858 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 | 10,200 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 412 | $100 |
| Match 4 | 157 | $100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 11 | $50,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | $238,300,000 |