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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 October 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 20
  3. 29
  4. 31
  5. 40
  6. 1

Jackpot$70,000,000

The crowdHeld 23% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 3 of 1,430 under them

← 2015-10-10All recent draws2015-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 20 29 31 40 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

150times
200times
291time
310times
40

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 8.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.1Mto 347k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$380.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball42%$880.6K
  • 4 other tiers15%$313.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 0 of each

11time

Every number was expected about that many times after 2 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (29) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 2 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2015): 29 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$70,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.72 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 9.2 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4277≈ 231 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball672≈ 582 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,322≈ 12k by chance$7.00
  • Match 317,909≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball95,136≈ 92k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball220,149≈ 220k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,909 winners, 23% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball220,149$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball95,136$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,322$7.00
    Match 317,909$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball672$100
    Match 4277$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$70,000,000