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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · AZ · ball game
Latest drawWednesday, 14 October 2026
Jackpot$565,500,000
Top prizeNot won — 24 draws unwonnext draw advertised at $600,000,000
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 15 Oct 2026, 10:17 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–69, plus 1 from 1–26. 3,880 draws held here since 1992-04-22 — 1,432 under the current rules.
Powerball changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,432 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Powerball come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Powerball already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,432 draws every number is expected about 104 times, and a ball favoured by more than 40% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 14 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 41 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 175, give or take 43. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

26.5% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

2,346 possible pairs, each expected together 6.1 times so far — and about 23 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 69 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

32% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 8.7% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 11.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 65 draws for every one of the 69 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

292,201,338 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,432 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 12, the highest near 58. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/69 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 35% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/69 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI
This game draws more than once. Each draw is its own record, read on its own: mixing them would put one draw’s numbers above another draw’s prize table.

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-69 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 82% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,419 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 42, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 September 2025 — its closest relative in 1,419 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 162 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →34 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 22,692 winners, 96% fewer than the 539k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + Powerball | 0 | $565,500,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball | 12 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 335 | $100 |
| Match 3 + Powerball | 793 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 20,480 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball | 16,140 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball | 125,999 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball | 306,627 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 | 22,692 | $8.00 |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 1 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 3 | $150,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 87 | $300 |
| Match 3 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 193 | $300 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 5,841 | $21.00 |
| Match 2 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 4,591 | $21.00 |
| Match 1 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 36,027 | $12.00 |
| Match 0 + Powerball (with Power Play) | 88,095 | $12.00 |
| Totals | 627,916 | — |
The side bet sold beside the ticket. How many people buy it is not published; the prize table gives it away, because a multiplied outcome is reported twice — once for the tickets that paid the extra, once for those that did not.
53 draws, 2026-06-10 to 2026-10-14 · read at m0b1
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
At the $565,500,000 jackpot last advertised, and the 15,127,302 lines the last prize table implies were in play.
A $2.00 line returns about $1.07 — 53% of what it costs. That is the price of the entertainment, and it does not change with which numbers are on the line.
US$2 a line. The headline is a 30-year annuity; the cash option is about half of it, and 37% is the top federal rate before any state tax. At these sales a winning line expects about 0.05 co-winners, leaving 97% of the prize.
An average line would break even at a headline of about $1.5B — and even that is a break-even, not a profit, because a prize that size sells more lines and the extra sharing takes most of it back.
A model, with every parameter on the table — the whole calculation, and its sources → · the same figures for every game we can price →
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–3 | 9 | 15.4 |
| 4–7 | 6 | 12.3 |
| 8–11 | 11 | 9.8 |
| 12–15 | 12 | 7.8 |
| 16–19 | 17 | 6.2 |
| 20–23 | 3 | 5.0 |
| 24–27 | 4 | 4.0 |
| 28–31 | 2 | 3.2 |
| 32–35 | 4 | 2.5 |
| 36–39 | 2 | 2.0 |
| 40+ | 6 | 7.9 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,419 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,418 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 51, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,418 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): 51 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 208 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 33, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 April 2025 — its closest relative in 1,417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →51 had not appeared for 58 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,416 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 14, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2026 — its closest relative in 1,416 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 36, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 161 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,414 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (4, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,414 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): 4, 44 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 204 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →59 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,413 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 6, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 June 2025 — its closest relative in 1,413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 33% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,412 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 42, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 January 2024 — its closest relative in 1,412 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,411 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (40, 52, 55) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2017 — its closest relative in 1,411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 218 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →52 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,410 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 26, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,410 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 5th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,409 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 September 2021 — its closest relative in 1,409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,408 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 30, 68) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,408 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 202 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →