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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 20 February 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 54
  6. 25

Jackpot$214,800,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 40 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-02-17All recent draws2016-02-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 15 16 54 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

31oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd33th
  • low89th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

111time
125times
153times
166times
54

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 17Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$10.8Mto 736k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 556%$6.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13%$1.5M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball17%$1.8M
  • 5 other tiers14%$1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 39 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 January 2016 — its closest relative in 39 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 25 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12, 15–16. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$214,800,000
  • Match 56≈ 1.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 19 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4668≈ 479 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,552≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,877≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  • Match 338,137≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball209,135≈ 190k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball456,528≈ 457k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,552 winners, 29% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball456,528$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball209,135$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,877$7.00
    Match 338,137$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,552$100
    Match 4668$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29$50,000
    Match 56$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$214,800,000