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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 28 September 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 23
  3. 34
  4. 51
  5. 55
  6. 4

Jackpot$50,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 416 of 1,432 under them

← 2019-09-25All recent draws2019-10-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 23 34 51 55 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

1524times
2343times
3422times
5121times
55

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.0Mto 351k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$400.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$374.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$922.8K
  • 4 other tiers13%$258.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

414times

Every number was expected about that many times after 415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (23, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 June 2019 — its closest relative in 415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$50,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.76 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 9.7 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4211≈ 242 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball543≈ 610 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,034≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 314,070≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball93,552≈ 96k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball230,708≈ 231k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 543 winners, 11% fewer than the 610 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball230,708$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball93,552$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,034$7.00
    Match 314,070$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball543$100
    Match 4211$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$50,000,000