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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 15 August 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 15
  3. 28
  4. 47
  5. 48
  6. 16

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 299 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-08-11All recent draws2018-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 15 28 47 48 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap31th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread20th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

1223times
1516times
2832times
4718times
48

Prize breakdown · 2018-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 7.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.0Mto 313k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 560%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12%$600.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball16%$798.4K
  • 5 other tiers12%$611.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 298 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 February 2018 — its closest relative in 298 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 47–48. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$40,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 0.65 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 8.4 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4211≈ 209 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball587≈ 528 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,296≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  • Match 315,626≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball85,697≈ 83k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball199,600≈ 200k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,626 winners, 18% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball199,600$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball85,697$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,296$7.00
    Match 315,626$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball587$100
    Match 4211$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000