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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 9 August 2023

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 67
  5. 69
  6. 3

Jackpot$177,700,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 922 of 1,430 under them

← 2023-08-07All recent draws2023-08-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official10 15 21 67 69 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official10 15 21 67 69 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 21 67 69 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 67 of each

1071times
1569times
2183times
6767times
6979times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

337times

Every number was expected about that many times after 921 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 15, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 January 2022 — its closest relative in 921 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

182

The numbers add up to 182 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$6.2Mto 513k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 548%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%$900.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%$1.3M
  • 5 other tiers16%$967.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance$177,700,000
  2. Match 53≈ 1.1 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 14 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4307≈ 346 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball897≈ 872 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,861≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 321,071≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball141,923≈ 137k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball329,660≈ 330k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 18,861 winners, 5% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball329,660$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball141,923$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,861$7.00
Match 321,071$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball897$100
Match 4307$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
Match 53$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$177,700,000