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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 29 January 2022

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 38
  4. 54
  5. 65
  6. 11

Jackpot$106,500,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 683 of 1,430 under them

← 2022-01-26All recent draws2022-01-31 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official2 15 38 54 65 + 1123 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official2 15 38 54 65 + 1123 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 38 54 65 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

246times
1545times
3848times
5451times
6543times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1124times

Every number was expected about that many times after 682 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 38, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 July 2021 — its closest relative in 682 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 January 2022): 38 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

174

The numbers add up to 174 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-01-29

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.5Mto 451k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22%$550.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$481.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball47%$1.2M
  • 4 other tiers13%$326.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance$106,500,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.98 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 12 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4266≈ 312 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball750≈ 787 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,420≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 316,708≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball120,387≈ 124k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball297,606≈ 298k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,708 winners, 15% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball297,606$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball120,387$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,420$7.00
Match 316,708$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball750$100
Match 4266$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$106,500,000