Number 4

In Powerball under the 5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015 rules — 1,418 draws, 5 from 1–69.

100times drawn · chance expected 103 −0.28σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

14.3average wait between appearances · chance says 13.8

75longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 100 times in 1,418 draws against 102.8 expected, −0.28σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 100 times in 1,418 draws · average wait 14.3 draws · longest completed wait 75 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest81 · chance 83.1
2nd smallest19 · chance 16.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.8
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

49 23 46 52 11 39

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 68 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.12× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 69. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.14
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.06

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	3	2nd	1 4 19 33 51
2026-10-03	1	1st	4 42 44 55 59
2026-09-30	21	1st	4 6 23 33 44
2026-08-12	8	1st	4 26 66 67

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/69 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-02-17	15	1st	4 44 47 52 57
2025-01-13	19	1st	4 6 16 39 66
2024-11-30	19	1st	4 24 29 39 63
2024-10-16	20	1st	4 30 39 44 60
2024-08-31	2	1st	4 34 35 38 69
2024-08-26	26	2nd	2 4 23 68 69
2024-06-26	2	1st	4 9 36 47 56
2024-06-22	1	1st	4 5 15 32 62
2024-06-19	2	1st	4 27 44 50 64
2024-06-15	24	1st	4 36 48 54 56
2024-04-20	25	1st	4 35 41 44 58
2024-02-21	1	1st	4 27 33 41 42
2024-02-19	2	1st	4 23 45 50 53
2024-02-14	17	2nd	1 4 45 47 67
2024-01-06	4	1st	4 31 34 38 61
2023-12-27	18	1st	4 11 38 51 68
2023-11-15	12	2nd	3 4 51 53 60
2023-10-18	21	2nd	1 4 13 35 58
2023-08-30	1	1st	4 13 35 61 69
2023-08-28	3	1st	4 6 25 55 68
2023-08-21	12	2nd	3 4 12 22 28
2023-07-24	10	2nd	3 4 12 28 49
2023-07-01	13	1st	4 17 35 49 61
2023-05-31	18	2nd	2 4 54 61 62
2023-04-19	9	1st	4 11 21 38 64
2023-03-29	25	1st	4 9 24 46 66
2023-01-30	6	2nd	1 4 12 36 49
2023-01-16	2	1st	4 14 33 39 61
2023-01-11	18	1st	4 8 46 47 48
2022-11-30	37	1st	4 19 24 47 66
2022-09-05	16	1st	4 7 32 55 64
2022-07-30	8	1st	4 17 57 58 68
2022-07-11	28	1st	4 26 34 37 52
2022-05-07	43	1st	4 5 6 28 67
2022-01-26	57	1st	4 11 38 49 69
2021-09-15	19	2nd	1 4 18 46 62
2021-07-24	10	2nd	1 4 11 59 67
2021-06-19	10	1st	4 22 35 38 39
2021-05-15	15	1st	4 10 37 39 69
2021-03-24	8	1st	4 9 17 27 38
2021-02-24	1	1st	4 33 43 53 65
2021-02-20	11	1st	4 8 22 32 58
2021-01-13	3	1st	4 19 23 25 49
2021-01-02	5	2nd	3 4 11 41 67
2020-12-16	3	1st	4 23 37 61 67
2020-12-05	5	2nd	3 4 6 48 53
2020-11-18	22	1st	4 5 17 43 52
2020-09-02	39	2nd	1 4 11 20 69
2020-04-18	11	1st	4 44 46 56 63
2020-03-11	18	1st	4 29 49 50 67
2020-01-08	4	2nd	2 4 7 43 56
2019-12-25	24	2nd	2 4 16 30 46
2019-10-02	8	1st	4 8 10 43 53
2019-09-04	17	1st	4 8 30 52 59
2019-07-06	5	1st	4 8 23 46 65
2019-06-19	19	1st	4 18 21 26 38
2019-04-13	14	1st	4 17 26 32 49
2019-02-23	21	1st	4 6 14 20 32
2018-12-12	4	1st	4 9 21 29 64
2018-11-28	20	1st	4 19 59 68 69
2018-09-19	22	1st	4 39 48 50 51
2018-07-04	4	1st	4 7 15 41 44
2018-06-20	26	1st	4 14 23 27 56
2018-03-21	14	2nd	3 4 18 29 61
2018-01-31	23	1st	4 7 14 46 59
2017-11-11	37	1st	4 6 16 30 56
2017-07-05	10	1st	4 9 16 54 68
2017-05-31	4	1st	4 33 39 46 60
2017-05-17	75	1st	4 11 39 45 48
2016-08-27	21	1st	4 32 48 49 63
2016-06-15	20	1st	4 22 24 31 33
2016-04-06	17	1st	4 28 49 60 65
2016-02-06	7	1st	4 13 31 36 52
2016-01-13	18	1st	4 8 19 27 34
2015-11-11	4	1st	4 26 32 55 64
2015-10-28	—	1st	4 54 56 62 63