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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 August 2011

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 21
  4. 26
  5. 37
  6. 1

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 86 of 868 under them

← 2011-08-14All recent draws2011-08-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 21 26 37 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

54times
65times
217times
264times
37

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.9Mto 592k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€230.9K
  • 2+038%€718.4K
  • 0+125%€474.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€468.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

8times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

18times

Every number was expected about that many times after 85 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 July 2011 — its closest relative in 85 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.5 by chance€230,889
  • 4+130≈ 41 by chance€1,399
  • 4+0264≈ 366 by chance€186
  • 3+11,281≈ 2.0k by chance€43.69
  • 3+015,147≈ 18k by chance€12.01
  • 2+119,742≈ 31k by chance€7.09
  • 2+0239,474≈ 275k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1316,510≈ 317k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 19,742 winners, 35% fewer than the 31k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€230,889
    4+130€1,399
    4+0264€186
    3+11,281€43.69
    3+015,147€12.01
    2+119,742€7.09
    2+0239,474€3.00
    0+1316,510€1.50