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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 22 October 2023

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 1

Jackpot€5,700,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 711 of 869 under them

← 2023-10-15All recent draws2023-10-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 19 33 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd99th
  • low66th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread19th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

764times
1576times
1961times
3370times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-22

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 384k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • 4+113%€148.1K
  • 2+040%€463.3K
  • 0+127%€306.9K
  • 4 other tiers20%€231.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.11 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

163times

Every number was expected about that many times after 710 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 May 2021 — its closest relative in 710 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2023): 19 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 0.97 by chance
no winners
  • 4+121≈ 26 by chance€7,053
  • 4+0229≈ 237 by chance€116
  • 3+1854≈ 1.3k by chance€35.58
  • 3+011,091≈ 11k by chance€8.90
  • 2+112,932≈ 20k by chance€5.87
  • 2+0154,432≈ 178k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1204,611≈ 205k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 12,932 winners, 35% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+00€0.00
    4+121€7,053
    4+0229€116
    3+1854€35.58
    3+011,091€8.90
    2+112,932€5.87
    2+0154,432€3.00
    0+1204,611€1.50