LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇪🇸 900 200 225all helplines →

El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 17 January 2021

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 24
  6. 1

Jackpot€12,200,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 567 of 869 under them

← 2021-01-10All recent draws2021-01-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 10 17 24 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd34th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours82th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

756times
848times
1053times
1747times
24

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 446k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • 5+010%€134.6K
  • 2+042%€550.8K
  • 0+127%€346.6K
  • 5 other tiers21%€273.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.12 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

151times

Every number was expected about that many times after 566 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 17, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 June 2018 — its closest relative in 566 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.3% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

66

The numbers add up to 66 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 4.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
3≈ 1.1 by chance
€44,852
  • 4+129≈ 30 by chance€844
  • 4+0342≈ 267 by chance€83.46
  • 3+11,189≈ 1.4k by chance€27.43
  • 3+014,078≈ 13k by chance€7.53
  • 2+115,703≈ 22k by chance€5.19
  • 2+0183,590≈ 201k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1231,093≈ 231k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,703 winners, 30% fewer than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+03€44,852
    4+129€844
    4+0342€83.46
    3+11,189€27.43
    3+014,078€7.53
    2+115,703€5.19
    2+0183,590€3.00
    0+1231,093€1.50