Number 10

In Saturday Lotto under the 6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009 rules — 928 draws, 6 from 1–45.

137times drawn · chance expected 124 +1.28σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 75% for any number

6.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5

31longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 137 times in 928 draws against 123.7 expected, +1.28σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 38 times, counted separately.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 137 times in 928 draws · average wait 6.7 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest32 · chance 41.0
2nd smallest67 · chance 59.4
3rd smallest33 · chance 29.7
4th smallest5 · chance 6.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.6
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39 1 26 32 42 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	15	2nd	1 10 27 32 33 39
2026-06-06	1	1st	10 25 30 31 43 44
2026-05-30	2	2nd	8 10 12 19 28 36
2026-05-16	19	2nd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-05-25	25	2nd	8 10 22 35 36 38
2023-12-02	7	1st	10 14 21 22 23 42
2023-10-14	7	2nd	7 10 11 23 24 38
2023-08-26	2	2nd	6 10 18 32 33 37
2023-08-12	19	2nd	5 10 30 32 34 42
2023-04-01	1	2nd	5 10 25 36 39 45
2023-03-25	2	3rd	8 9 10 14 39 42
2023-03-11	7	4th	1 4 9 10 29 42
2023-01-21	7	2nd	9 10 11 23 32 40
2022-12-03	10	3rd	4 8 10 12 15 39
2022-09-24	3	3rd	5 7 10 14 34 41
2022-09-03	9	3rd	3 6 10 18 21 39
2022-07-02	3	1st	10 15 17 31 37 42
2022-06-11	6	1st	10 11 19 21 39 45
2022-04-30	6	3rd	3 8 10 20 36 42
2022-03-19	6	1st	10 24 32 34 38 43
2022-02-05	15	3rd	2 9 10 11 22 37
2021-10-23	6	2nd	9 10 16 22 26 32
2021-09-11	31	2nd	8 10 17 23 26 34
2021-02-06	2	4th	3 6 8 10 12 24
2021-01-23	8	4th	1 6 8 10 29 40
2020-11-28	25	1st	10 18 20 34 35 37
2020-06-06	5	2nd	3 10 18 19 22 27
2020-05-02	3	1st	10 14 16 18 31 43
2020-04-11	2	2nd	5 10 11 14 26 27
2020-03-28	1	3rd	3 7 10 16 37 43
2020-03-21	7	1st	10 19 26 27 31 33
2020-02-01	1	2nd	1 10 17 24 29 33
2020-01-25	1	1st	10 17 19 24 36 38
2020-01-18	7	2nd	3 10 12 24 34 35
2019-11-30	3	1st	10 16 20 22 30 38
2019-11-09	1	2nd	1 10 25 27 28 36
2019-11-02	8	3rd	1 2 10 12 21 42
2019-09-07	2	3rd	1 8 10 14 23 36
2019-08-24	9	3rd	4 9 10 11 32 33
2019-06-22	11	2nd	5 10 11 12 29 41
2019-04-06	5	3rd	4 8 10 12 38 39
2019-03-02	6	2nd	5 10 38 39 40 43
2019-01-19	8	2nd	8 10 11 15 26 45
2018-11-24	6	2nd	7 10 20 24 29 37
2018-10-13	2	3rd	3 6 10 34 37 40
2018-09-29	4	3rd	2 9 10 13 16 25
2018-09-01	10	2nd	5 10 14 16 36 43
2018-06-23	2	2nd	9 10 18 31 35 41
2018-06-09	2	2nd	7 10 22 25 26 36
2018-05-26	3	1st	10 21 25 29 38 40
2018-05-05	3	1st	10 22 28 34 42 45
2018-04-14	3	3rd	7 9 10 17 18 38
2018-03-24	27	1st	10 19 23 30 33 39
2017-09-16	11	2nd	5 10 20 29 41 45
2017-07-01	6	2nd	6 10 18 19 32 36
2017-05-20	3	2nd	6 10 11 15 29 33
2017-04-29	6	2nd	3 10 23 29 34 37
2017-03-18	1	2nd	1 10 15 23 36 43
2017-03-11	6	2nd	1 10 15 31 36 39
2017-01-28	8	2nd	6 10 19 28 37 40
2016-12-03	19	1st	10 11 18 26 39 44
2016-07-23	4	3rd	4 7 10 15 22 32
2016-06-25	2	3rd	4 7 10 17 28 31
2016-06-11	4	2nd	4 10 25 32 39 45
2016-05-14	3	2nd	4 10 13 21 33 34
2016-04-23	5	2nd	3 10 27 32 34 36
2016-03-19	11	2nd	8 10 16 24 28 31
2016-01-02	6	2nd	3 10 31 40 44 45
2015-11-21	1	3rd	6 9 10 11 35 37
2015-11-14	2	2nd	6 10 21 28 37 42
2015-10-31	2	1st	10 14 19 20 27 37
2015-10-17	11	3rd	2 7 10 13 23 24
2015-08-01	6	2nd	6 10 15 16 17 29
2015-06-20	5	2nd	8 10 22 27 39 44
2015-05-16	12	1st	10 15 16 26 30 45
2015-02-21	4	2nd	5 10 11 24 39 41
2015-01-24	1	1st	10 12 30 34 42 44
2015-01-17	18	2nd	1 10 16 30 33 41
2014-09-13	1	3rd	1 5 10 14 29 33
2014-09-06	5	2nd	4 10 17 27 34 43
2014-08-02	12	2nd	7 10 12 26 30 36
2014-05-10	6	1st	10 13 16 22 39 45
2014-03-29	10	1st	10 21 22 26 29 41
2014-01-18	2	3rd	1 9 10 13 27 39
2014-01-04	2	3rd	5 6 10 28 32 40
2013-12-21	28	3rd	1 3 10 17 20 35
2013-06-08	7	3rd	7 8 10 25 28 42
2013-04-20	6	2nd	7 10 28 34 41 44
2013-03-09	11	2nd	7 10 12 28 44 45
2012-12-22	9	3rd	1 4 10 17 29 45
2012-10-20	3	1st	10 25 26 27 32 35
2012-09-29	6	2nd	9 10 16 25 32 34
2012-08-18	12	1st	10 11 15 30 34 36
2012-05-26	10	1st	10 13 22 36 37 38
2012-03-17	6	2nd	4 10 21 30 41 42
2012-02-04	12	2nd	3 10 20 28 40 41
2011-11-12	7	3rd	4 5 10 17 22 40
2011-09-24	1	2nd	7 10 11 14 37 39
2011-09-17	1	2nd	8 10 12 21 37 42
2011-09-10	10	1st	10 20 21 25 38 39
2011-07-02	1	2nd	6 10 14 17 39 40
2011-06-25	6	1st	10 11 12 15 22 28
2011-05-14	3	2nd	4 10 18 22 31 45
2011-04-23	3	2nd	5 10 13 25 32 37
2011-04-02	7	1st	10 14 24 30 40 41
2011-02-12	4	3rd	4 9 10 26 38 44
2011-01-15	2	1st	10 12 23 26 27 31
2010-12-31	3	1st	10 11 13 19 24 41
2010-12-11	1	1st	10 16 18 26 32 33
2010-12-04	22	2nd	9 10 12 13 39 43
2010-07-03	1	3rd	1 6 10 15 26 40
2010-06-26	14	3rd	2 5 10 22 37 38
2010-03-20	15	1st	10 12 15 26 29 40
2009-12-05	7	2nd	1 10 26 31 32 44
2009-10-17	27	2nd	2 10 22 24 26 44
2009-04-11	7	3rd	1 2 10 27 41 43
2009-02-21	—	2nd	8 10 13 17 26 33