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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 29 September 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 25
  5. 32
  6. 34
  7. 40
  8. 44

JackpotA$4,161,471

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 196 of 930 under them

← 2012-09-22All recent draws2012-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 16 25 32 34 + 40 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum35th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

925times
1025times
1624times
2524times
32

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-29

  • Lines in play≈ 45Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.9Mto 443k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 101lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 5.5

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 5.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
3425times

Every number was expected about that many times after 195 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (16, 32, 34) with the draw of 27 August 2011 — its closest relative in 195 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2012): 32, 34 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 27% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,080,736
  • 31,076≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,133
  • 454,654≈ 61k by chanceA$33.70
  • 252A$10,862
  • 5126,818A$24.40
  • 6260,303A$15.30
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈45M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,076 winners, 16% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,080,736
    252A$10,862
    31,076A$1,133
    454,654A$33.70
    5126,818A$24.40
    6260,303A$15.30