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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 November 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 5
  3. 10
  4. 17
  5. 22
  6. 40
  7. 8
  8. 38

JackpotA$4,259,568

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 150 of 930 under them

← 2011-11-05All recent draws2011-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 5 10 17 22 40 + 8 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd20th
  • low94th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

420times
524times
1020times
1716times
22

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-12

  • Lines in play≈ 58Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.3Mto 560k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 103lines took a prize
  • 18 winnerschance said 7.1

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 18≈ 7.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
4021times

Every number was expected about that many times after 149 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 17, 40) with the draw of 2 July 2011 — its closest relative in 149 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 4–5. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$532,446
  • 31,451≈ 1.7k by chanceA$862
  • 470,864≈ 79k by chanceA$26.70
  • 285A$6,818
  • 5173,029A$18.35
  • 6314,902A$13.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈58M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,451 winners, 13% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    18A$532,446
    285A$6,818
    31,451A$862
    470,864A$26.70
    5173,029A$18.35
    6314,902A$13.00