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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 17 October 2009

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 22
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 44
  7. 5
  8. 31

JackpotA$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 42 of 930 under them

← 2009-10-10All recent draws2009-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 22 24 26 44 + 5 3129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd0th
  • low48th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

26times
102times
225times
247times
26

Prize breakdown · 2009-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 51Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14Mto 224k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 226lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 6.2

Where the money went

  • 129%A$4M
  • 420%A$2.8M
  • 533%A$4.6M
  • 2 other tiers18%A$2.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 6.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
443times

Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (2, 24) with the draw of 19 September 2009 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 October 2009): 2 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,000
  • 31,194≈ 1.5k by chanceA$1,378
  • 462,158≈ 69k by chanceA$45.80
  • 268A$12,808
  • 5160,549A$28.60
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈51M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,194 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,000,000
    268A$12,808
    31,194A$1,378
    462,158A$45.80
    5160,549A$28.60