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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 12 February 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 26
  5. 38
  6. 44
  7. 23
  8. 40

JackpotA$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 111 of 930 under them

← 2011-02-05All recent draws2011-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 10 26 38 44 + 23 4029 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum41th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

412times
911times
1011times
2617times
38

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-12

  • Lines in play≈ 117Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$46.1Mto 1.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 95lines took a prize
  • 111 winnerschance said 14

Where the money went

  • 143%A$20M
  • 516%A$7.5M
  • 621%A$9.7M
  • 3 other tiers19%A$8.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 111≈ 14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
4411times

Every number was expected about that many times after 110 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 26, 44) with the draw of 18 December 2010 — its closest relative in 110 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 February 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,818,182
  • 32,911≈ 3.4k by chanceA$1,021
  • 4143,323≈ 159k by chanceA$31.35
  • 2141A$9,771
  • 5358,335A$21.05
  • 6723,907A$13.40
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈117M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 2,911 winners, 13% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    111A$1,818,182
    2141A$9,771
    32,911A$1,021
    4143,323A$31.35
    5358,335A$21.05
    6723,907A$13.40