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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 August 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 15
  4. 30
  5. 34
  6. 36
  7. 16
  8. 19

JackpotA$4,354,888

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 190 of 930 under them

← 2012-08-11All recent draws2012-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 15 30 34 36 + 16 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1024times
1125times
1525times
3026times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-18

  • Lines in play≈ 50Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.6Mto 561k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 90lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 6.2

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.4M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.2M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 6.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
3622times

Every number was expected about that many times after 189 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 34, 36) with the draw of 9 July 2011 — its closest relative in 189 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 51 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,177,444
  • 31,105≈ 1.4k by chanceA$1,155
  • 461,764≈ 69k by chanceA$31.25
  • 261A$9,697
  • 5159,490A$20.30
  • 6338,091A$12.35
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈50M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,105 winners, 24% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,177,444
    261A$9,697
    31,105A$1,155
    461,764A$31.25
    5159,490A$20.30
    6338,091A$12.35