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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2016

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 31
  4. 40
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 37
  8. 38

JackpotA$30,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 366 of 930 under them

← 2015-12-26All recent draws2016-01-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 31 40 44 45 + 37 3829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each

333times
1049times
3150times
4053times
44

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 136Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$65Mto 1.5M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 93lines took a prize
  • 115 winnerschance said 17

Where the money went

  • 146%A$30M
  • 516%A$10.1M
  • 620%A$13M
  • 3 other tiers18%A$11.9M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 115≈ 17 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
4544times

Every number was expected about that many times after 365 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (40, 44, 45) with the draw of 4 April 2015 — its closest relative in 365 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,000,000
  • 33,186≈ 3.9k by chanceA$1,252
  • 4166,669≈ 185k by chanceA$36.20
  • 2156A$11,852
  • 5418,204A$24.20
  • 6869,649A$15.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈136M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 3,186 winners, 18% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    115A$2,000,000
    2156A$11,852
    33,186A$1,252
    4166,669A$36.20
    5418,204A$24.20
    6869,649A$15.00