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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 10 September 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 25
  5. 38
  6. 39
  7. 4
  8. 43

JackpotA$21,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 141 of 930 under them

← 2011-09-03All recent draws2011-09-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 20 21 25 38 39 + 4 4329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours93th
  • spread27th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

1017times
2014times
2115times
2519times
38

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-10

  • Lines in play≈ 130Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$50.4Mto 1.4M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 96lines took a prize
  • 117 winnerschance said 16

Where the money went

  • 142%A$21M
  • 517%A$8.5M
  • 622%A$11M
  • 3 other tiers20%A$10M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 117≈ 16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
3916times

Every number was expected about that many times after 140 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 25, 38) with the draw of 20 November 2010 — its closest relative in 140 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 September 2011): 21 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

153

The numbers add up to 153 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 38–39. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,235,294
  • 33,223≈ 3.7k by chanceA$1,040
  • 4160,051≈ 178k by chanceA$31.65
  • 2192A$8,090
  • 5396,812A$21.45
  • 6800,061A$13.70
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈130M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 3,223 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    117A$1,235,294
    2192A$8,090
    33,223A$1,040
    4160,051A$31.65
    5396,812A$21.45
    6800,061A$13.70