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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2015

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 16
  4. 26
  5. 30
  6. 45
  7. 12
  8. 21

JackpotA$4,169,149

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 333 of 930 under them

← 2015-05-09All recent draws2015-05-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 16 26 30 45 + 12 2129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

1042times
1545times
1651times
2644times
30

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 46Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.9Mto 524k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 87lines took a prize
  • 15 winnerschance said 5.6

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 15≈ 5.6 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

48times
4540times

Every number was expected about that many times after 332 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 16, 30) with the draw of 17 January 2015 — its closest relative in 332 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$833,830
  • 31,118≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,094
  • 456,139≈ 62k by chanceA$32.95
  • 276A$7,455
  • 5145,482A$21.30
  • 6321,521A$12.45
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈46M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,118 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    15A$833,830
    276A$7,455
    31,118A$1,094
    456,139A$32.95
    5145,482A$21.30
    6321,521A$12.45