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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 February 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 28
  5. 40
  6. 41
  7. 11
  8. 17

JackpotA$4,164,221

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 162 of 930 under them

← 2012-01-28All recent draws2012-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 20 28 40 41 + 11 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.

  • sum55th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

311times
1021times
2016times
2820times
40

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-04

  • Lines in play≈ 48Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.9Mto 578k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 84lines took a prize
  • 15 winnerschance said 6.0

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 15≈ 6.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
4123times

Every number was expected about that many times after 161 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 40, 41) with the draw of 2 April 2011 — its closest relative in 161 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2012): 28, 40 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$832,844
  • 31,146≈ 1.4k by chanceA$1,066
  • 459,445≈ 66k by chanceA$31.05
  • 257A$9,928
  • 5153,621A$20.15
  • 6363,543A$11.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈48M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,146 winners, 18% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    15A$832,844
    257A$9,928
    31,146A$1,066
    459,445A$31.05
    5153,621A$20.15
    6363,543A$11.00